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Villeroi, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Interest rates will be cut several times next year. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, a member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank, said that the European Central Bank will further reduce borrowing costs in 2025, and there is still a way to go before monetary policy is no longer restrictive. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on BFM Business TV on Friday He added that the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, but was "quite satisfied with the financial market forecast". The current expectation of the swap market is to cut interest rates by about 120 basis points by the end of next year.On the 13th, caustic soda dropped by 3.03%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract caustic soda 2501 closed, with a turnover of 57,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 1,383 lots. The total contract turnover of caustic soda futures was 94,800 lots, an increase of 27,900 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 71,100 lots, an increase of 2,202 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 72,700 lots, an increase of 1,157 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Centaline Property: The price of second-hand houses in Hong Kong dropped by 0.6% on a weekly basis. Centaline Property said on its website that in the week from December 2 to 8, the leading index of Central Plains cities, which measures the price of second-hand houses in Hong Kong, fell by 0.6% to 137.59.

Some short-term inter-bank bonds performed brilliantly. The yield of 2-year active bonds "21 interest-bearing bonds 02" went down 5bp to reach 1.1%, which was 11bp upside down from the current 1-year active bonds "24 discount bonds 67" yield of 1.21%.Deputy Director Huang Huabo attended the 2024 annual discussion meeting of members of the National Medical Security Standardization Working Group. On December 12, 2024, the 2024 annual discussion meeting of members of the National Medical Security Standardization Working Group was held in Beijing. Huang Huabo, chairman of the working group, member of the party group and deputy director of the National Health Insurance Bureau, attended and spoke. The symposium summarized the work results of the National Working Group on Medical Security Standardization in 2024, and discussed the work in 2025, the five-year development plan of medical security standardization, the framework system and relevant medical insurance standards. Huang Huabo pointed out that in 2024, with the guidance of the National Standards Committee and the support of the bureau party group, all the work of the working group was smoothly promoted through the joint efforts of all members and relevant units inside and outside the bureau. In 2025, the high-quality development of medical insurance put forward higher requirements for medical insurance standardization. It is necessary to further strengthen the sense of responsibility, professionalism and cooperation, accelerate the construction of medical insurance standardization team, and play a supporting role for the high-quality development of medical insurance. (National Medical Insurance Bureau)Bank of China Securities Guan Tao: As long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Guan Tao, global chief economist of Bank of China Securities, said that the meeting continued the policy thinking since the end of September and emphasized the need to implement more active and promising macro policies. Among them, implementing a more active fiscal policy is an important point to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment. I believe that as long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected.

10 yuan has to be paid more for mobile phone payment at a toll station in Changchun. The official has set up a joint investigation team. According to Jiupai News, on December 11th, a truck driver posted a message on the social platform, saying that when passing through Nanwaizi Toll Station on G102 National Road, the cash charge for the truck at the toll station is 30 yuan, and the payment by WeChat is 40 yuan. On December 13th, the staff of Changchun Highway Management Office told Green Hornet that the discipline inspection team of Jilin Provincial Highway Bureau, Changchun Municipal Transportation Bureau and Changchun Highway Management Office had formed a joint investigation team to investigate and rectify such problems in all toll stations within the jurisdiction of Changchun City. The staff said: "It is wrong for the toll collector to accept 30 yuan. That car is 40 yuan's car, and it is inaccurate to judge the model. The deputy stationmaster, the squad leader and the toll collector involved in the duty stopped working and were investigated. " "No matter whether it is less or more, it will be strictly dealt with." The staff member said that the investigation team will strictly investigate the problem of not charging according to the model of the toll station.Zhengzhou Investment Holding Company increased its capital to 7.78 billion yuan, with an increase of about 121%. Tianyancha App shows that Zhengzhou Investment Holding Co., Ltd. has undergone industrial and commercial changes recently, adding Zhengzhou Development Investment Group Co., Ltd. as a shareholder, and its registered capital has increased from about 3.53 billion yuan to about 7.78 billion yuan, with an increase of about 121%. At the same time, many senior executives have changed. Zhengzhou Investment Holding Co., Ltd. was established in October 2005, and its legal representative is Yu Jianwei. Its business scope covers state-owned assets investment and management, real estate development and sales, and house leasing. Now Zhengzhou Zhongrongchuang Industrial Investment Co., Ltd. and the above-mentioned newly-added shareholders jointly hold shares.During the policy landing period, the market may become a structural market, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks. On December 13, the Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) closed down by 1.93%, with a turnover of 35.7287 million yuan. Puyin International pointed out that next year, before the two sessions next year, it will enter the policy landing period, and more detailed policies will be gradually implemented. The superimposed overseas uncertainty may increase with Trump's coming to power, so we expect the market to present a structural market. Based on the profit growth rate, capital stock, liquidity and market sentiment, the overall performance of A shares may be more stable than that of overseas Chinese shares. Investment trading strategy suggests both offensive and defensive. When the market sentiment improves and the stock index rebounds, it is expected that the high beta sector, such as non-bank finance, optional and mandatory consumption, real estate and other sectors and individual stocks may be more elastic. When the market sentiment is low and the stock index fluctuates downward, funds may prefer more defensive sectors, such as telecommunications services. There are many high-quality and high-interest stocks in the defensive sector. There is still room for the Bank of China to cut interest rates further next year, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks.